|
The Creation of Retirement One half of all people who ever lived to the age of 65 are alive today! In 1875 when Otto von Bismarck set the age of 65 as the age to receive a pension, the average life expectancy was in the mid-thirties. What happened in between 1875 and today is the longevity revolution which really began with post-World War II antibiotics and modern epidemiology.
Dynamic and Evolving Market There are currently 36 million retirees in the U.S. On January 1, 2008 the first ‘baby boomer’ turned age 62. (Boomers are the generation born between 1946 and 1965) Over the next two decades 77 million ‘baby boomers’ will reach retirement age. With the increase in life-expectancy the boomers will have to decide what to do and where to spend about 20 to 25 years of life.

| Surge in Demand Above all else what one must expect is that there will be a significant increase in the demand for services to retirees.Boomers will change both the scope of the market and scale of the market for all retiree services. |
Retirees: an Engine of Development? A typical description of the retiree is that they are tourist who don’t go home. Of course it is generally accepted attracting tourists is a legitimate path to development. But to say a retiree is just a tourist who does not go home over simplifies the impact of retirees. Like tourists retirees do bring a lot of discretionary spending with them when they move.
More Than Discretionary Spending Whether they rent or buy, retirees induce home building. New residential construction has one of the highest multipliers for any sector since new home building also means new home furnishing, new appliances, etc. Various estimates place the purchase price of the median value retiree home at between $150,000 to $200,000. A small retiree development of 250 homes will add about $50.0 million to a community’s tax base.
High End Services The average retiree spends about $42,000 per year. Retirees spend money on housing, medical services, financial services, arts and entertainment, and high-end retail.
Impact of Retirees: A Comparison
- In 1950 Georgia’s population was 3.4 million
- Florida’s population in 1950 was 2.8 million, about the size of the state of Delaware.
- In the 50 years between 1950 and 2000, Florida became the 4th largest state in the U.S, with a population of about 18.3 million
- The Florida economy was transformed from a rural agricultural economy to one of the largest economies in the U.S.
- By comparison Georgia did grow over the same period, but only to was 10th in population with less than half the population of Florida.
No Doubt Retirees Now Seek More Than Sun
The competition for retirees has increased. Both Florida and California have lost market share to other states. States and communities must now make their case for why they are ‘the best’ destination for retirement.
Post Retirement Migration Only 8% to 10% of the ‘Silent Generation,’ the boomer’s parents, relocated post retirement. It is expected that boomers will have a much higher propensity to move as part of a planned retirement. It is estimated that about 20% of boomers will move post retirement. If boomers do move, they will re-make the population geography if the U.S. with as many as 18.2 million retirees relocating in the next two decades.
Putting Out the Mat To play in the exploding market a state or a community has to be prepared to tell its story. To sell in any market one must know what the customer wants. The American Association of Retirement Communities has a mission to help states and communities created effective retiree attraction strategies.
AARC AARC stands for the American Association of Retirement Communities. It was established with the assistance of an Economic Development Administration grant for the purpose of helping states and communities understand more about retiree attraction as an economic development strategy.
The AARC Seal of Approval The Seal Beyond the Basics Quality of Life Measures Hospital and Adequacy of Medical Services – The community must be within 30 minutes of a hospital and there must be emergency servicers for stabilization and transport to an acute care hospital (minimum standard) Availability of Housing – There must be a variety of housing options with an adequate supply of both resale and rental housing Availability of Goods and Services – Adequate shopping, restaurants, etc Seal Quality of Life Continued Adult Education Opportunities – Availability of adult continuing education either through college/university located in the community Recreational Opportunities – Adequate outdoor recreation such as golf and walking trails. There must also be fitness and wellness centers. Cultural Opportunities – adequate availability of theatres, arts galleries, etc Low Crime – below the national average for both violent and non-violent crime
Why Should You Apply The current recession will not last forever and states and communities are likely to emerge from the downturn with strong interests in creating more diverse economies. States and communities are also likely to be seeking out new market opportunities. Undertake the AARC Seal of Approval process now to learn where you stand with respect to the huge market in retiree attraction
Hunting for Retirees Hunting for retirees will be as serious a business as recruiting industry. The retiree recruitment market will surge over the next 20 years. After the era of boomer retirement, it is expected that the U.S. will plateau with about 71.5 million people in retirement. A doubling of the size of the market for retiree services in 20 years.
Next Steps Many states do not currently have a state level strategy for retiree attraction. When Florida dropped out of the number one spot as a retiree destination in 2006, the state immediately initiated a state level plan for retiree attraction. Other southern neighbors of Florida have state level plans including Alabama, Mississippi and Tennessee. North Carolina will join them next year with a state level plan.
Where to Start Read the AARC’s monthly newsletter to stay current with the latest research on retirees. Plan to attend the AARC’s annual conference, November 4 to 6 in Chattanooga, TN. GET ON BOARD!
|